Monday, September 11, 2006

more on "Peace Deal"

Here is what the BBC had to say about the “Peace Deal” :

"The government policy has swung from one extreme to another, from the use of brute military force to what appears to be total capitulation to militants," wrote Ismail Khan of the Dawn newspaper.

"The government was desperate [for a solution]. It has bought temporary peace," said Rahimullah Yusufzai, a close follower of Taleban affairs. "I think this accord will give legitimacy to the militants. They will behave as people who fought the army to a standstill."

Similar deals in neighbouring South Waziristan did stop attacks on Pakistani soldiers, although it strengthened the hand of locals who shared the ideology and views of the Taleban.

The accord highlights what many analysts here see as the contradiction at the heart of Gen Musharraf's leadership.

As a key US ally in the "war on terror", he is under pressure to crack down on Islamic extremism. But politically that is difficult in a country where sympathy with the Taleban and opposition to American policy run deep, including within his own armed forces.

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There is serious speculation that the region affected by the “Peace Deal” is exactly where OBL is hiding.

And for more on who Musharraf was dealing with check this out.

Musharraf lets Taliban attack Canadian troops: security expert

In another article, Ahmad Rashid a respected journalist on the Taliban had this to say

"We should remember that the [Pakistan] military regime before 9/11 was absolutely adamant on supporting the Taliban.

There was already a lot of pressure in the Clinton era against Pakistan support for the Taliban and getting Pakistan to help in getting Bin Ladin.

At the same time lots of support for Kashmiri jihadi groups and [the Pakistan] military did come in making this distinction, saying that terrorism is one thing and jihad another and quite legitimate."

The Asian Tribune’s article (full text below) is also a direct contrast to Constable’s analysis.

Musharraf surrenders before Taliban

Created 2006-09-11 03:11

By Allabaksh - Syndicate Features

Many might see it as a near impossible feat. Pakistan president, Gen Pervez Musharraf, has 'reaffirmed' his ‘'ommitment'to fight terrorism---by signing a 'peace' agreement with the Taliban! Along with Al Qaeda, the joint US-ISI creation, called the Taliban, is one of the two forces synonymous with acts of terrorism in the world. Actually, the Musharraf feat is even more bizarre: under the 'peace' agreement with pro-Taliban tribal leaders, Islamabad will not arrest or pursue 'peaceful foreigners' staying illegally in the North Waziristan area of Pakistan, widely believed to be one of the safest sanctuaries for terrorists and the base for launching attacks in Afghanistan.

There must be rejoicing among the terrorists. Men like Osama bin Laden and Mullah Omar, leaders of Al Qaeda and Taliban respectively, can look for immunity from capture, never mind the huge bounty the US is offering for their arrest. The accord was signed ostensibly to end violence in North Waziristan that has followed a year-long military operation there. The pro-Taliban militants have promised not to attack Pakistan army or civilian officers or cross the border for forays into Afghanistan. In return, Islamabad has given an assurance that it would immediately stop ground and air operations, free prisoners, send the army back to barracks, compensate the militants for losses and allow the tribal population to carry ‘small arms’.

The government has also asked ‘foreigners’ in North Waziristan to leave. But that is only a half-hearted measure as the past demand for their compulsory registration has been given up. Also, the ‘foreigners’ will be allowed to stay on if they ‘respect’ the terms of the peace deal.

Now all that the Pakistan leader, mindful of the tidal wave of anti-Americanism and pro-Al Qaeda / Taliban sentiments of his countrymen and under ever increasing pressure from his fundamentalist allies, has to do to ensure that men like bin Laden and Mullah Omar remain free from the fear of arrest is to certify that these eminent foreign guests of Pakistan have not participated in any violent activity. That job is, after all, carried out by the foot soldiers. If the Americans are pleased with this they are not admitting it openly, lest it offends their good 'uniformed' friend in Islamabad.

Soon after Pakistan government and the pro-Taliban tribal elders signed the peace deal the spokesman of Gen Pervez Musharraf, Maj-Gen Shaukat Sultan told the American TV network, ABC News, that if Osama bin Laden behaved like ‘a good citizen’ and as long as he stayed like ‘a peaceful citizen’ he would not be taken into custody. When this TV interview embarrassed Islamabad, the Pakistanis, as could be expected, blamed it all on the media twisting the words of the Maj Gen and said that ‘if found’, Osama bin Laden would be brought to justice.

Whether Osama bin Laden would be ‘found’ in Pakistan, despite a firm belief that he is in fact hiding there, must be a $64 million question. As for the ‘twist’ to the Maj. Gen.’s statement, the ABC News has released the transcript of the interview to nail the Pak lie. The Americans must be amused; again they are not talking about it.

The so-called peace deal with the Taliban in North Waziristan scoffs at the US-led ‘war on terror’ in which Pakistan has been declared a front rank ally of the US, constantly being showered with cash, arms and ammunition to fight the ‘war on terror’. The deal gives legitimacy to the militants. It is a clear capitulation to the militants and a sure sign that the Pakistani army has failed, deliberately or otherwise, to tame the dehumanised marauders from the medieval times.

But for the clever Pakistani dictator the deal signed in Miranshah provides an opportunity to concentrate on quelling the rebellion in the equally troubled Balochistan province with US-gifted powerful military arms that had only recently taken the life of the charismatic Baloch tribal chief, Nawab Ahmed Khan Bugti. It is a different matter that Musharraf’s recipe of solving his country’s troubles with guns have been criticised across the Pakistani political spectrum. Many are talking about the days preceding the Bangladesh liberation war of 1971.

The North Waziristan peace agreement is believed to be similar to those signed in South Waziristan previously. That deal did not stop the pro-Taliban militants from launching attacks on soldiers and crossing the border. Locally, the effect of the deal was that it added to the number of Taliban supporters.

A repeat performance in North Waziristan is not ruled out where the Pakistan army has implicitly admitted its failure to drive out the fugitive Taliban and Al Qaeda operatives. It provided, as many commentators have noted, a face- saving device to the Pakistani army, headed by Musharraf, to retreat from a war it was always incapable of winning.

Maybe, for some time in the beginning the North Waziristan deal would be made to look like working well. Musharraf would not like his patrons in the West to believe that he has yielded before the rabidly anti-American forces in his country that include many bearded Generals and so-called 'liberal' politicians.

Early violations of the peace deal have the danger of inviting strong protests from the US and NATO forces hunting for terrorists on the Afghan side of the border. Given the porous borders and the affinity between people on either side the border how can the entry of the North Waziristan-based Taliban be prevented from entering Afghan territory?

The North Waziristan peace agreement comes at a time when Afghanistan has reported an all-time high production of 16,000 tons of opium amidst reports that opium has become the new engine for human trafficking in Afghanistan and Pakistan. It also follows a US claim of some success in degrading Al Qaeda.

The Pakistan ISI has a stake in the high cultivation of opium. It provides assistance to the opium flow from Afghanistan to the outside world. The ISI is known to use drug money for financing terrorist plots in Afghanistan and Kashmir. And, of course, the Taliban will be only too pleased to see opium trade flourish without any fear of military intervention.

William Maley writing in the Australian characterized the “peace deal" as direct threat to the fledgeling democracy in Afghanistan

“LAST week, Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf struck a remarkable deal with religious extremists in the tribal areas of the North West Frontier Province of Pakistan, involving a truce in their stand-off with the army in exchange for their ending armed attacks in the country.

In Afghanistan, the reaction was less than enthusiastic, with the Governor of Paktia Province, Hakim Taniwal, warning that "if they are not being bothered, they will have more time to infiltrate here and do what they want".

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